Tool lesson

Fair Value Tracker: Check Freshness Before Signal State

A practical Fair Value Tracker lesson for using source freshness as the first quality gate before reading basis, confidence, or signal-state language.

12 minBeginner5 chapters

Lesson promise

Frame the question

Are COMEX, FX, and local market fresh enough to read?

Check the evidence

Use 5 guided chapters to read freshness, confidence, and caveats in order.

Move into the tool

Open Open Fair Value Tracker with a checklist instead of a blank screen.

Educational workflow only. No trade recommendations, personalized advice, leverage guidance, or guaranteed outcomes.

Chapter 01

Check freshness by leg

Trader question

Are COMEX, FX, and local market fresh enough to read?

The Fair Value Tracker is only as trustworthy as its weakest source leg. The learner should inspect COMEX, FX, and local market timestamps before deciding whether the basis number is usable, caution-only, or paused.

Desk checklist

  • Check COMEX/global reference timing.
  • Check FX timestamp because FX controls the local currency bridge.
  • Check whether local market is live, stale, closed, or estimated.

Interactive proof

Freshness panel and source cards

Use the triage board to switch source regimes while the same basis number stays fixed.

1COMEXDelayed, closed, or stale global legThe global reference can remain useful only if the timestamp and session context are visible.
2FXFresh adapter or old benchmarkFX freshness controls every local currency conversion, so stale FX should downgrade the parity note.
3local marketLive quote or estimated local legAn estimated local value changes basis from observed comparison into caution-only model context.
4Regime taglive, delayed, closed, stale, estimatedThe tag explains the source state before the signal-state language is allowed to matter.
5ConfidenceQuality gate before basisConfidence should decide whether the learner proceeds, monitors, or pauses the read.

The same basis number can move from usable to caution-only when one leg turns stale, delayed, closed, or estimated. Source state owns the first sentence.

Interactive desk lab

Freshness Triage Board

A practical Fair Value Tracker triage board for checking COMEX, FX, and local market source states before trusting basis, confidence, or signal state.

A practical Fair Value Tracker triage board for checking COMEX, FX, and local market source states before trusting basis, confidence, or signal state.

50s guide previewChapter visual

Timestamp first, basis second

The same +local currency 310 basis number passes through fresh, stale, and estimated source states so learners see why timestamp controls permission.

What you will see4 steps
1

COMEX, FX, and local market source cards appear before the basis number.

2

The basis card stays fixed at +local currency 310.

3

FX turns stale and the note downgrades.

4

local market turns estimated and the read pauses.

Lesson notes

The full chapter walkthrough in reading form — use it to review the lesson or skim ahead before working through the interactive steps above.

Chapter 01

Check freshness by leg

Are COMEX, FX, and local market fresh enough to read?

The Fair Value Tracker is only as trustworthy as its weakest source leg. The learner should inspect COMEX, FX, and local market timestamps before deciding whether the basis number is usable, caution-only, or paused.

Freshness panel and source cards

  • Check COMEX/global reference timing.
  • Check FX timestamp because FX controls the local currency bridge.
  • Check whether local market is live, stale, closed, or estimated.

Chapter 02

Read regime tags as context

What does live, delayed, closed, stale, or estimated change about this read?

A regime tag is not decorative metadata. It tells the learner whether the tool is showing a live market read, a delayed global reference, a closed-session review, a stale source, or an estimated local fallback.

Regime tag, data-quality message, and signal-state label

  • Name the source state before naming the signal state.
  • Use closed-session language when market hours explain the timestamp.
  • Treat stale or estimated states as downgrade conditions.

Chapter 03

Use confidence as a quality gate

Does the confidence score support a note, a watch, or a pause?

Confidence should shape the language of the note. A high score can support monitored educational context, a middle score needs caveats, and a low score should send the learner back to source diagnosis.

Confidence score, overview confidence card, and data-quality message

  • Do not use confidence as a trade approval badge.
  • Let low confidence block signal-style language.
  • Attach the weak source to the note.

Chapter 04

Diagnose degraded source state

When should readiness and cron status matter?

A degraded Fair Value read is usually a data-quality problem to diagnose, not a missing route. Readiness helps separate service health from source weakness, and cron status helps explain stale or estimated provider paths.

Data quality message, /api/v1/ready, and /api/v1/cron/status

  • Check readiness when the route loads but source quality is weak.
  • Check cron status when timestamps stop advancing.
  • Do not turn degraded readiness into a trading conclusion.

Chapter 05

Downgrade the note when source state weakens

Which source state would make me downgrade the note?

The learner should practice changing language instead of chasing certainty. Delayed COMEX may become monitored context, stale FX can pause a conversion-heavy read, and estimated local market should prevent a live local-basis claim.

Desk note, source-state caveat, and signal-state language

  • Identify the weak source leg.
  • Choose proceed, monitor, or pause.
  • Name the re-check condition before sharing the note.

Sources used for this tutorial

Next step

Open the tool with the checklist beside you.

Move from the lesson into the matching Bullion Brains tool, keep the checklist visible, and treat the output as evidence until the caveats are clear.

Open Fair Value Tracker