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SILVER · weekly9 Jul 2026

Silver Weekly — Week 28, 2026

Silver holds near $60 at a premium to fair value while managed-money positioning stays light

Bullion Brains Research3 min read

Key takeaways

  • 1Spot silver trades near $59.80, roughly flat on the day, with the gold-silver ratio near 69.
  • 2Silver sits at a premium to its import-parity fair value of roughly +4.7%, in contrast to gold's slight discount.
  • 3Managed-money net length in COMEX silver has stayed light and rangebound (about 10-14k contracts over recent weeks), with the regime classifier reading 'distribution' and crowding low.
  • 4July has averaged strongly positive for silver historically, but with very wide dispersion; a US CPI print leads Tuesday's calendar.

At a glance

Jul seasonality
+5.3%
67% positive · 9y
Positioning (COT)
Distribution
crowding 24/100 · 58% conf
Import parity
z +0.03
6th percentile
Next catalyst
CPI (YoY)
Jul 14
01

Where silver stands

Spot silver is trading near $59.80 per ounce, little changed on the day, with gold similarly flat. The gold-silver ratio sits near 69.

The macro backdrop is quiet: the US Dollar Index is near 101 and the US 10-year yield is around 4.57%. Stepping back, the 12-week trend chart shows the COMEX continuous future has fallen from a late-April high above $80 to near $60 — silver now sits close to the low end of its three-month range.

Market snapshot

Live spot and macro reference · 1-day change

Last1D
Spot Gold (USD/oz)4,119.73-0.05%
Spot Silver (USD/oz)59.86-0.04%
Gold–Silver Ratio68.82
US Dollar Index (DXY)100.97+0.01%
US 10Y Yield4.57+0.66%

Silver — 12-week trend

COMEX continuous future · weekly close (USD)

$59.81
02

What moved the market

US data through the week leaned soft-to-mixed. Initial jobless claims printed 215k against a 218k forecast — still firm — while existing home sales came in at 4.09M versus 4.19M expected, and the ISM non-manufacturing PMI eased to 54.0 with its prices component elevated at 67.7.

There was no standalone driver for silver; the broader tape has been consolidating ahead of the inflation data later in the week.

From the full report

Silver seasonality — average monthly return

Last 10 years · India spot · % change

Current month highlighted · green = historically positive, red = negative.

Managed-money net positioning (COMEX)

Net futures, '000 contracts · newer to the right

Premium / discount to fair value

Spot vs the import-parity fair-value model

Gold -1.45%
Silver +4.73%
DiscountPremium

Week ahead

Scheduled releases · times in IST

WhenEventForecastPrev
Tue 14 Jul · 18:00US CPI (YoY)4.2%
Tue 14 Jul · 18:00US Core CPI (MoM)0.3%0.2%
Tue 14 Jul · 18:00US CPI (MoM)-0.1%0.5%
Wed 15 Jul · 07:30CN GDP (YoY)5%
Wed 15 Jul · 18:00US PPI (MoM)0.2%1.1%
Wed 15 Jul · 20:00US Crude Oil Inventories2.998M

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For educational purposes only. Not investment advice or a recommendation. Data may be delayed, revised, or incomplete.