Seasonality

Seasonality is the study of recurring calendar-based tendencies in a market, for example how gold has historically performed in particular months or around recurring events. In India, seasonal demand tied to festivals and wedding seasons is a familiar driver of bullion buying.

For a trader, seasonality offers a planning lens: it can flag months or windows that have historically leaned strong or weak, helping prioritize where to look for setups or where to be cautious. It works best as a hypothesis layer rather than a standalone signal.

Seasonal patterns are built from past data and can break when the regime changes. A tendency should be weighed against sample size, win rate, and dispersion, and confirmed with current conditions rather than traded blindly on the calendar alone.