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GOLD · study13 Sept 2026

Gold in rupees: how much was the metal, how much was the rupee

From January 2017 to August 2026, gold gained 279.2% in dollars and 432.5% in rupees; currency accounts for 20.3% of the cumulative logarithmic price change in rupees.

Bullion Brains Research3 min read

Key takeaways

  • Gold moved +432.5% in rupees against +279.2% in dollars over 9.6 years.
  • Currency accounts for 20.3% of the cumulative logarithmic price change in rupees, not 20.3% of the simple percentage gain.
  • In 2018, 2022 and 2026 the metal fell in dollars and the rupee price still rose.
  • The series is spot converted at market rates — duty, GST and retail margin sit on top of it.

At a glance

Gold ₹/10g
25,168 → 134,010
Gold $/oz
1,152 → 4,368
USD/INR
67.95 → 95.42
Currency share (log return)
20.3%

Gold, year by year

₹/10g close · metal value excluding duty · 2017-01-01 to 2026-08-11

Year₹/10g closeIn rupeesMetal ($)Currency (₹/$)
201726,737+6.2%+13.1%-6.0%
201828,671+6.9%-1.9%+9.0%
201934,745+21.3%+18.5%+2.4%
202044,512+28.1%+24.8%+2.6%
202143,824-1.7%-3.6%+2.0%
202248,529+10.7%-0.3%+11.1%
202355,209+13.8%+13.1%+0.6%
202471,649+29.8%+26.8%+2.3%
2025127,416+73.7%+65.6%+4.9%
2026134,010+5.2%-0.8%+6.0%

Currency's share of the rupee move

Log-return share — an identity, not an estimate

Gold +20.3%
Silver +19.5%
All metalAll currency
01

How much was the metal, how much was the rupee

Currency accounts for 20.3% of gold's cumulative logarithmic price change in rupees over the stated window.

Between 2017-01-01 and 2026-08-11, gold moved +279.2% measured in dollars and +432.5% measured in rupees. The difference is not the metal. Over the same window the rupee went from 67.95 to 95.42 to the dollar.

The rupee price equals the dollar price multiplied by USD/INR, so cumulative logarithmic price changes separate exactly. Of the cumulative logarithmic price change in rupees over this window, 79.7% is attributable to the metal and 20.3% to the currency; these are not shares of the simple percentage gain.

Put concretely: had the exchange rate stayed at 67.95, the same dollar move would read ₹95,437 per 10 g at the 11 August 2026 endpoint instead of ₹134,010 — a difference of ₹38,573 per 10 g attributable to the currency alone.

02

Three years when gold fell in dollars and still rose in rupees

The clearest demonstration sits in 2018, 2022 and 2026: in each of those years the metal was flat or lower in dollar terms while the rupee price still moved up. The currency, not the metal, accounted for the difference.

It cuts both ways. In 2017 the rupee strengthened, so a solid dollar year for the metal showed up smaller in India — the same mechanism running in reverse.

The deepest fall in the period, measured in rupees from any prior peak, was 24.0% on 2026-06-30.

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For educational purposes only. Not investment advice or a recommendation. Data may be delayed, revised, or incomplete.

Gold in rupees: how much was the metal, how much was the rupee | Bullion Brains